This week I look at two more studies about colorectal cancer. Brenner et al. 2009 is the source for Wikipedia’s number of 11.4 % advanced adenomas found in screening. Brenner et al. 2015 extrapolate the number of prevented cases to 180 000 (100k for men plus 80k for women) until death. For 4.4 million screenings Read the rest of this entry »
For thousands of years the Jews dreamed of reclaiming their country. The left had another dream.
By Daniel Greenfield
It dreamed of a country run by bureaucrats that worked only three days a week. It dreamed of unions running monopolies that worked whenever they liked and charged whatever they wanted. It dreamed of children raised on collective farms without parents and of government as a Socialist café debate.
It is tempting to dismiss Smith et al. out of hand. Their method is questionable or at least not widely accepted, but it seems they have been very thorough and have eliminated most sources of error. So what can it mean? Seeing that until the Highy Middle Ages the transport of staple food was marginally feasible only in famines Read the rest of this entry »
One way to stop something from being done badly is, I suppose, preventing it from being done at all. I for one have ranted about ridiculous, irrelevant, and wrong claims about statistical significance often enough. Still I do have my doubts, that banning them completely, as the journal Basic and Applied Social Psychology has just announced in their editorial by Trafimow & Marks is the best answer out there.
Popular literature tends to describe risk prone and overactive actors in the financial markets as hungry. Following Xu et al. it seems that once again language betrays a deep seated unconscious folk knowledge mostly disregarded by rational thought.
The new studies mentioned by Callaway are both not yet available in reasonably legible form. I’m looking forward to that discussion.
Everybody is conspiring to demolish the beautiful Solutréen hypothesis, now also Boulanger & Eren. Shame really, but there you are.
The brainwashing study by Falk et al., of interest to e.g. the junk food, sweets, alcohol, and tobacco advertising industry, cries out junk science loudly and clearly. The only value they don’t state a standard deviation for in their table 2 is the measured one Read the rest of this entry »
I can’t access the primary source for Beniston but his conclusion seems rather overblown. Every limited time series with a definite cut-off at the beginning will produce ever increasing extremes in both directions. So during the fifties half of these were new minima, which seems low, since they fall in the middle of three decades of a known and well recorded decrease in average temperature. In the single recent year Beniston has picked out Read the rest of this entry »
As Smith et al. report, the Fukushima plume has finally arrived on America’s west coast in earnest, doubling the bomb testing fallout and expected to double yet again by next year. Are thousands to die? Well, at its expected peak of 5 mBq/kg Read the rest of this entry »
Es ist keineswegs neu sondern ein bewährtes Muster, daß der Staatsrundfunk und die gesamte Presse unisono, in konzertierter Aktion auf einen Text einschlagen, den wir, das einfache Volk, keineswegs selbst ganz lesen sollen, sondern der uns wenn überhaupt in zusammenhanglosen Häppchen aus zweiter Hand präsentiert wird. Wie der lateinischen Bibel, dem arabischen Koran und der Read the rest of this entry »